After winners galore in midweek, including Nottingham Forest (5/1) to beat Brighton and Brentford at Chelsea, Jones Knows is back with his betting insights.
- How to watch free Premier League highlights
- Get Sky Sports | Download the Sky Sports App
Crystal Palace vs West Ham, Saturday 12.30
Despite their decline in results this season, West Ham have always been respected by the markets. If you didn't know their league position, you'd assume there were a top-10 side looking at their starting prices.
And over the last two weeks, they've started to show that kind of level - driven on by the magnificent engine room of Declan Rice and Lucas Paqueta. Their run of five games unbeaten was ended by Liverpool on Wednesday but fine margins were at play in a performance David Moyes was right to be happy with.
If Jarrod Bowen's toenail stays onside, the Hammers most likely win the game while a 50-50 penalty call went against them late on. I like them here at 7/4 with Sky Bet for the away win.
- Win £250,000 with Super 6!
- Bet with Sky Bet | Download the Sky Sports App
- Premier League live table
My confidence on a positive West Ham result will only grow further if Joachim Andersen isn't passed fit for Palace. He was taken off at half-time of Palace's 2-0 defeat to Wolves and I'm always keen to oppose Palace when one of Marc Guehi or Andersen isn't available as they are a fantastically solid pairing back there.
- Azerbaijan GP: Practice red flagged as Gasly's Alpine catches fire LIVE!
- Papers: Arsenal target Rice, Mount to prepare for Europe
- Ten Hag: We have worst schedule this season | Man Utd boss defends subs
- Transfer Centre LIVE! Toney, Raya on Pochettino's Chelsea wishlist
- PL managers speak LIVE! Klopp: Spurs best counter attack team in Europe
- PL hits and misses: Man Utd's striker woes show they need Kane
- Howe not taking anything for granted in CL pursuit | Dyche: I've not lost fans
- How new F1 Sprint format will work in 2023
- Young drafted No 1 by Panthers | Texans trade up for double-player swoop
- Latest News
Palace have only won two of 15 matches when one of the two first choice centre backs are missing since the start of last season with 1.7 goals conceded per 90 minutes.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Any winners for Jones Knows this midweek?
- Nottingham Forest to beat Brighton: 5/1
- Brentford double chance vs Chelsea: 11/10
- Fulham 3+ offsides vs Villa: 11/8
- Fulham 4+ offsides vs Villa: 5/2
- Marc Roca 2+ fouls vs Leicester: 13/8
- Leeds 1-1 Leicester: 7/1
- Newcastle to win 7+ corners: 6/5
- Wins for Man City, Newcastle & a draw between Tottenham & Man Utd
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm
Although Nottingham Forest did the business for us at a gigantic 5/1 to beat Brighton on Wednesday, that form line is one to be treated with caution. As well as Forest grafted, that was the perfect time to catch a fatigued Brighton after their cup exploits - even Roberto De Zerbi admitted as much in his post-match duties.
- Download the Sky Sports App
- Play Super 6 to win £250,000!
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
Forest have won just once on the road in 16 attempts this season, failing to score in 10 of those. If Steve Cooper could mastermind a victory here at Brentford it would surpass their victory over the Seagulls as the Bees are in fine fettle and have lost just three of their last 21 home games.
Set-pieces always play a huge part for Brentford and they'll be looking to expose Forest, who have shipped 14 goals from such situations this season - only Bournemouth have scored more. Ethan Pinnock, Ben Mee and Zanka produced an expected goals return of 0.96 between them in the win at Chelsea with Zanka's effort deflecting in off Cesar Azplicueta. Back Pinnock (28/1), Mee (22/1) and Zanka (28/1) to score first, all look longshots with squeaks of landing.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Brighton vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm
The 3-1 reverse at Nottingham Forest has not been enough for the market to take a negative view on Brighton - they remain so strongly backed. Roberto De Zerbi's side played with their usual possession with a purpose but just lacked their usual bite and energy which allowed Forest to play very decisively on the counter. And Brighton missed chances, scoring just once from an expected goals tally of 2.34. If they create the same high probability scoring situations against Wolves, they are without question the most likely winners, hence odds of just 1/2 with Sky Bet for the home win.
Adding a Solly March goal to the Brighton win price rates as a decent angle. Long gone are the days of getting 11/1 on the Brighton to score at any time, but the 7/2 for him to bag in a Brighton does still have some juice.
He has scored seven goals in his last 15 Premier League appearances and his movement off the right flank does open lots of shooting opportunities as seen by his 15 shots on target in the last 10 fixtures across all competitions. After his miss at Wembley, he'd be a fitting scorer.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Bournemouth vs Leeds, Sunday 2pm
If Leeds are going to retain their status as a Premier League team, then it will be done in a manner equivalent to taking a sledgehammer to a wall. Javi Gracia has seemingly decided not to trust his defenders and goalkeeper to get him points, so playing four attack-minded players every week points to an aggressive philosophy that has seen Leeds score in all their last eight fixtures. I'd be surprised if they don't continue that run away at a side that did ship four in their last home game to West Ham, yet keeping a clean sheet will be hard graft. A high scoring draw it is.
Those looking for an angle in should keep the faith with Jack Harrison to have a shot on target. The winger hasn't fired in his last three starts but is still playing with great intensity and carries an abundance of quality cutting in off the right - as seen when registering at least one shot on target in five straight games earlier in the month. The 11/10 for him to hit the target remains overpriced.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Fulham vs Manchester City, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
Fulham have had a strange season. Most of their key performance metrics have them rated as a relegation threatened team, first it was their expected goals against data in the first half of the season which was the worst in the Premier League up until February.
That has improved slightly in recent months but now their expected goals for has taken a hit, to the extent they are now they are posting the worst attacking numbers since February. They had just one shot in their timid 1-0 defeat at Aston Villa and over the last 10 games have posted the lowest expected goals tally (8.29) and fewest shots in the box (49) of any Premier League side.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
You can't create such miserly figures when playing teams towards the top of the Premier League and perhaps it explains why Fulham have taken just one point from nine games against Arsenal, Liverpool, Newcastle, Manchester United, Manchester City and Tottenham this season.
A City win to nil makes sense at 11/10 but I'd go a little stronger than that as I trust Fulham to stay in the game despite what the market is predicting. Marco Silva's side have lost 10 of their 13 Premier League games this season by one-goal so combining that theory with them not being able to break past the City defence, leaves us with a 0-1 away correct score. At 7/1 that looks fair enough.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Manchester United vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm
Unai Emery is the trap king. His Aston Villa side are putting on a masterclass of how to catch opposition teams offside and the bookmakers haven't properly copped on yet. The edge remains for their trip to Old Trafford so we'll be backing it once again.
In their last nine Premier League games, opposition teams have been caught offside 39 times by Villa, working to an average of 4.3 per game. It showcases just how aggressive the defensive high line is under Emery and it's that bravery at the back which is providing the base for such an impressive set of results. With time ticking away against Fulham and only holding a 1-0 lead, Villa were pressing so high, almost on the halfway line.
United have faced Villa twice under Emery and have been caught offside 11 times in the two fixtures with the likes of Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and Anthony Martial all happy to make runs in behind defences. The 5/4 with Sky Bet for the hosts to rack up four or more offsides will do just nicely in what should be a tight encounter where United may have to chase the game at some point.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Newcastle vs Southampton, Sunday 2pm
Southampton don't yet require snookers to get out of trouble but some long-pots are needed to haul them back into contention. It's 9/1 with Sky Bet for them to pick up an unlikely win at St James' Park and I'd even have to think twice about taking 90/1 based on their performance against Bournemouth on Thursday.
It lacked belief. It lacked quality.
The same can't be said for Newcastle, who are charging towards a Champions League place. With no value in the outright market for the match, I'm going to head to the Newcastle corner market to hopefully find another winner - like we did backing seven or more Newcastle corners on Thursday at 11/10 vs Everton.
They won 14 during that 4-1 victory - the fifth highest a side has won in a single match this season which took their season corner count to 223 - no side has won more corners. I'm happy to play the eight or more line at 6/5 with Sky Bet in this one in expectation of a one-sided encounter.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0
Liverpool vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports
Heung-Min Son jumps off the page to score at 4/1 with Sky Bet.
Liverpool, who are on a three-match winning streak, are still not entirely getting the balance right between defence and their midfield and are offering up space on the counter-attack. West Ham's Jarrod Bowen almost exploited this on Wednesday but his goal was chalked off for a very tight offside call.
Spurs are very happy to play against such defences with quick, direct attacks suiting their forward players, like Son.
You can rest assured Son will be testing the Liverpool offside trap on regular occasions. In his last eight appearances against the Reds and Manchester City - two teams that play a high line - he has managed to break it and score six times, including scoring the first goal in the 1-1 draw at Anfield last season. That is a very healthy strike-rate against two of the best defences in Europe. He can add to his record at a juicy price.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-2
Leicester vs Everton, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
The markets don't tend to factor state of play when pricing up goal expectancy in a game which is a huge advantage to punters who spot an angle. So-called 'six-pointers' where relegation is concerned are assumed to be cagey, low-scoring affairs, especially ones involving Everton, whose matches are averaging around 2.2 goals per 90 minutes this season.
However, since the start of March, the 14 matches to involve two teams with genuine relegation worries have seen an average of 3.2 goals scored per game with scorelines like 0-4, 1-5 and 2-4 popping up. Even Leicester's clash with Leeds in midweek should have flown across the over 2.5 goal line with the expected goals data showing a return of 3.8, and that wasn't including two disallowed goals.
Everton can't just sit and block deliveries anymore. They will have to play at a high tempo to try and cause a rickety Leicester defence trouble. Against what the market is expecting, it could lead to a goal-heavy game with the Evens with Sky Bet on over 2.5 goals a great starting point and the over 3.5 goal line worth a look at 5/2.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Arsenal vs Chelsea, Tuesday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
Trusting the process has taken Arsenal to lofty heights this season. Yet, it's that trust that may also prove to be their downfall.
Mikel Arteta's unwillingness to make Arsenal more secure through the centre of their defence in the absence of William Saliba has showcased his naivety and inexperience at the elite level. Liverpool, West Ham, Southampton and Manchester City all have bullied their way to goal in recent weeks with Arsenal conceding 11 goals to a backdrop of 9.8 of expected goals with the central area being particularly vulnerable as shown by Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne on Wednesday.
Frank Lampard is no Pep Guardiola, that's for sure, but imitation is the best form of flattery and he simply should copy and paste what Guardiola did on Wednesday. Play hard and fast through the middle with a focal point. Worryingly for Arsenal, the only true central striker he has is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who put in a dangerous cameo performance off the bench against Brentford where he looked sharp.
The 33-year-old surely has a point to prove at The Emirates after the way his exit unfolded. Aubameyang to score in a Chelsea win at 9/1 with Sky Bet it is then.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
|Probability % provided by StatsPerform|
The league takes place between August and May and involves the teams playing each other home and away across the season, a total of 380 matches. Three points are awarded for a win, one point for a draw and none for a defeat, with the team with the most points at the end of the season winning the Premier League title.Who will be relegated from the Premiership? ›
The statisticians over at Opta have ranked Arsenal's chances of winning the title at 46.9% compared to City's 53.1%, with the Gunners now losing their status as favourites which they first gained back in gameweek 18.Who is most likely to win Premier League 22 23? ›
- Manchester City @ 1/4.
- Arsenal @ 3/1.
- 500/1 bar.
In the unlikely event that two teams finish on the same number of points and have the same goal difference, Premier League rules state that “the number of goals scored, then the team who collected the most points in the head-to-head matches, then who scored most away goals in the head-to-head” will determine who ...Has any team won the Premier League on goal difference? ›
City finished level on 89 points with Manchester United, but their goal difference was eight better than their local rivals', making it the only time the Premier League had been won on goal difference.Who has the most top flight wins in English football? ›
Manchester United are currently the record title winners in the English top flight having won the division a total of 20 times since 1889.Will West Ham be relegated? ›
Technically, our supercomputer does still give Bournemouth (4.1%), Wolves (0.7%) and West Ham (0.1%) a chance of being relegated. So, whilst we can't absolutely mark them 'safe' from the drop yet, it does look extremely likely that all three sides will enjoy top-flight football next season.
Everton are one of six English clubs who have never been relegated from the Premier League since its creation in 1992. The others are Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United, Tottenham and Chelsea, so they are part of an elite group.Has a relegated team ever won the Premier League? ›
Blackburn Rovers are the only Premier League champions to have been subsequently relegated from the league, in 1998–99 and 2011–12, although Leicester City (most recently in 2003–04) and Manchester City (most recently in 2000–01) had been relegated from the Premier League prior to winning their first titles.Can Arsenal still win the Premier League? ›
Unsatisfied Arsenal can still beat Man City to Premier League title - Mikel Arteta. Mikel Arteta has said Arsenal can still win the Premier League title and praised his squad for refusing to be consoled by Champions League qualification.What was Arsenal's best year ever? ›
As of the end of the 2021–22 season, the club's first team have spent 106 seasons in the top division of English football, and 13 in the second. Their worst league finish to date is 10th in the second tier, their placing at the end of the 1896–97 season.Who is the most chances created player in the Premier League this season? ›
1) Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City): 92 (3.7)
Just keeps on trucking along, creating all of the chances and claiming 16 of the assists.
8-11 Betting Odds means that out of 19 possible outcomes, the 8/11 odds are that there will be 8 of one kind of outcome and 11 of another kind of outcome. The 8-11 odds calculation means for every 19 betting events your selection should win 11 times and on 8 occasions the selection will not win.What price is Manchester United to win the Premiership? ›
What are the Manchester United odds to win the Premier League? Manchester United are 50/1 to win the Premier League after getting their season up and running with a string of successive wins.Who is the only team to go undefeated in Premier League? ›
After Arsenal became the only team to finish a 38-match season unbeaten, the Premier League commissioned a unique gold trophy to commemorate the achievement.Who is the best team to never play in the Premier League? ›
1. Preston North End. Preston North End were the first team to win a league title in 1888-89 and they went back-to-back the next season. Unfortunately they're the only club to have won the top flight of English football and have never played in the Premier League.
In 19 percent of games the underdog won, while 21 percent of games finished in a draw. The Trinity Mirror Data Unit have compared the average odds offered by bookmakers for each Premier League game last season, to see whether the favourite or the underdog came out victorious.Is 40 points enough to stay in the Premier League? ›
Indeed, only three times in Premier League history has 40 points not been enough to stay up, and it last happened in 2003 when West Ham went down despite a 42-point haul. The other two occasions involved Sunderland in 1996/97 (40 points) and Bolton in 1997/98 (40 points).How many points is enough to stay in Premier League? ›
In fact since 2000, 37 points have been enough to retain Premier League status on all but four occasions. This season, 37 points is right around where the bar is likely to be, given how close the battle is and how many teams are involved.What if 2 teams have same points? ›
If two or more teams' total points scored and goal differences are both equal, then often goals scored is used as a further tiebreaker, with the team scoring the most goals winning. After this a variety of other tiebreakers may be used.Which team has the worst all time goal difference in the Premier League? ›
- Harry Kane (100)
- Wayne Rooney (94) ...
- Alan Shearer (87) ...
- Frank Lampard (85) Lampard scored 85 Premier League away goals (Courtesy: Sky Sports) ...
- Andy Cole (83) Andy Cole was one of the finest strikers in the league. ...
The 2003/04 Premier League season went down in history as a landmark one for Arsenal, who went the entire league campaign undefeated, with 26 wins and 12 draws, as they won the title by an 11-point margin.What's the biggest win in football history? ›
"149-0 scoreline sets new record". BBC Sport. 1 November 2002. Retrieved 5 April 2009.Who has the most red cards in top flight football? ›
The record for the most red cards in Premier League history is held jointly by Everton's Duncan Ferguson, Richard Dunne of Manchester City and Patrick Viera of Arsenal, all of whom were sent off no fewer than 8 times over the course of their playing careers.What is the highest away win in football history? ›
Sunderland 9-1 Newcastle
In December 1908, Sunderland went the 10 miles to Newcastle and came home 9-1 winners. And the game was called after 74 minutes. It's the largest away win in the First Division (and Premier League).
West Ham United is number 14 in the Premier League based on detailed 1vs1 performance statistics. The squad has 2 players listed in the top 50 rankings. The next match is against Crystal Palace on the 29.04. 2023.Have West Ham ever been top of the league? ›
Mourinho at Chelsea, Zamora's goals, Aussies everywhere: The last time West Ham topped the Premier League, and what happened next … Successive wins has West Ham United on top of the Premier League table for the first time since August 22, 2006.Has West Ham ever won? ›
Glory years (1961–1978) Ron Greenwood was appointed as Fenton's successor in 1961 and soon led the club to two major trophies, winning the 1964 FA Cup Final. The team was led by the young Bobby Moore. West Ham also won the European Cup Winners' Cup.Have Man United ever been relegated? ›
Manchester United were last relegated from the top flight in the 1973-74 season, but they rebounded straight away and have been a part of the top table since the 1975-76 season.Was Arsenal ever relegated? ›
Did you know? Arsenal have not been relegated since they last entered the top flight in 1919.Has Chelsea ever been relegated? ›
Chelsea were last relegated in 1987-88, having lost a relegation play-off tie with Middlesbrough, but they returned after one season after winning the Second Division in 1988-89.Who owns the Premier League? ›
The Premier League is a private company wholly owned by its 20 Member Clubs who make up the League at any one time. Each individual club is independent, working within the rules of football, as defined by the Premier League, The FA, UEFA and FIFA, as well as being subject to English and European law.Who has won 3 titles in a row in the Premier League? ›
Arsenal. Arsenal is ranked third in the list of the most winners in premier league history. This club won 3 titles in a row in its entire history of the Premier League.What player has been relegated the most? ›
Hermann Hreidarsson has more than 330 Premier League appearances to his name, along with an FA Cup winners' medal and 15 years of experience in English football, but also holds the unfortunate honour of knowing that no player in history has suffered relegation out of the top tier on more occasions than he has.Who defeated Arsenal the most? ›
The team that Arsenal have played most in league competition is Manchester United, who they first met in the 1894–95 Football League season; the 83 defeats from 204 meetings is more than they have lost against any other club. Liverpool have drawn 52 league encounters with Arsenal, more than any other club.
- MANCHESTER CITY – 34 years. ...
- CHELSEA – 26 years. ...
- LIVERPOOL – 17 years. ...
- ARSENAL – 17 years. ...
- TOTTENHAM – 15 years and counting. ...
- MANCHESTER UNITED – nine years.
Arsenal are currently in their longest period without a league title, albeit by year, since first becoming English champions in 1931. Twice Arsenal went 18 years without a title, 1953 until 1971, then again until 1989. Arsenal last won the league in the 2003-04 season.Who is the greatest Arsenal legend? ›
He scored with ease, becoming Arsenal's all-time top goalscorer with 228 goals.
- Goalkeeper. Aaron Christopher Ramsdale. #3 in Air challenges, % Premier League.
- Forward. Gabriel Jesus. #1 in Tackles opponent's half. Premier League.
- Midfielder. Bukayo Saka. #1 in Dribblings. Premier League.
- Defender. Gabriel Magalhaes. Top 5 in Passes. Premier League.
But their lowest Premier League finish came in 93/94 when they had to settle for 14th place. Chelsea's lowest points total in a Premier League season came in 1995/96 when they amassed just 50 points.Have Arsenal ever been bottom of the league? ›
In terms of the pre-Premier League era, Arsenal have the strongest history in England's top division, having last been relegated in the 1912-13 season, when they (as Woolwich Arsenal) finished bottom of the league.What is the lowest position Arsenal have finished in the Premier League? ›
The 1994-95 campaign remains the only season in which the Gunners finished in the bottom half of the table. Before the low point of the mid-nineties, the closest Arsenal came to relegation was 20 years earlier, in the mid-seventies, finishing 16th in 1974-75 and 17th in 1975-76.Which team is coming to Premier League 2023? ›
The promoted teams are Fulham, Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest, who return after an absence of one, two and twenty-three years from the top flight respectively.Who is the best striker in the Premier League 2023? ›
|Harry Kane||England||25 (4)|
|Ivan Toney||England||20 (6)|
|Mo Salah||Egypt||17 (1)|
|Marcus Rashford||England||16 (0)|
Sunil Chhetri is regarded as the God of football in India. As of 24 March 2023, he has scored 85 goals in 133 international appearances.Which team is No 1 in Premier League? ›
English Premier League Big Four Clubs: Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool And Manchester United.Who is the top 1 in Premier League? ›
Sergio Agüero, Harry Kane, Alan Shearer, and Thierry Henry (left to right) are some of the best Premier League strikers of all time. Ludovic Péron, enviro warrior, Robbie Fitzpartick, and joshjdss (left-right) via Wikimedia Commons.Who is the highest scoring striker in the Premier League? ›
There are other claims to the record; the Guinness World Records credits Pelé as the scorer of the "most career goals", with 1,279, and Brazilian striker Romário celebrated scoring what he claimed was his 1,000th goal in 2007 but later admitted his tally included friendly matches; they are reported to have scored 767 ...What if West Ham win the Europa League? ›
As West Ham cannot qualify domestically, winning the Europa Conference League will add an eighth place -- for them as titleholders -- regardless of how any other team may perform.What are the odds of West Ham winning the Europa League? ›
Winner odds for Europa Conference League 2022-23: West Ham hot favourites after emphatic win. West Ham are favourites at evens to win the Europa Conference League after beating Gent 5-2 on aggregate to set up a semi-final with Dutch outfit AZ Alkmaar (11/4).What happens if you win Europa? ›
The winner of the UEFA Europa League qualifies for the UEFA Super Cup and, since the 2014–15 season, qualifies for the following season's UEFA Champions League, entering at the group stage.
- AC Milan striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic. ...
- Neymar is the 6th richest footballer in the world in 2023. ...
- PSG forward Neymar. ...
- Dave Whelan.
Who is better Messi Or Ronaldo? Ronaldo has scored more goals and won two 'Best FIFA Men's Player' awards, but Messi has won more Ballon d'Or awards (7). Messi has spent most of his playing career in Spain, while Ronaldo has played in Portugal, England, Spain, and Italy.